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The ability to convert shots at a rate better or worse than expected is measured separately and assigned entirely to the shooter. The complete list of WAR components is: Offensive shot rates Defensive shot rates Offensive shot quality. Defensive shot quality Shooting Penalties taken Penalties.
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The probability of a goal then becomes a function of the linear combination of shooter, goalie and xG and the odds ratio eß1 remains the partial impact of the shooter, this time controlling for both the goaltender and the estimated shot quality. This is the.
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